Adaptive fuzzy logic based framework for handling imprecision and uncertainty in software development effort prediction models
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Saudi Digital Library
Abstract
اﻟﺘﻨﺒﺆ ﻋﻦ ﻣﻨ ﺗﻄﻮﻳﺮ اﻟﺒﺮﻣﺠﻴﺎت ﺬ اﻟﺒﺪ ﻳﻤﺜﻞ اﻳﺔ ﻣﻬﻤﻪ ﺻﻌﺒﻪ ﻻﻧﻪ ﻟﻴﺲ ﻟﺪﻳﻨﺎ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت ﻋﻦ اﻟﺒﺮﻣﺠﻴﺎت اﻟﻤﺘﺎﺣﻪ ﻓﻲ ذﻟﻚ
اﻟﻮﻗﺖ .ﻧﺎﻗﺼﻪ اﻟﺘﻘﺪﻳﺮات اﻟﻤﺒﻜﺮﻩ ﻋﺎدﻩ ,وﺗ ﺘ ﻄﻮر ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼل اﻟﺘﻜﺮا ر ﺑ اﻟﻌ ﻤﺨﺘﻠﻒ اﻧﺸﻄﻪ اﻟﺒﺮاﻣﺞ ﺎﻣﺔ . ، ﻋﻼوﻩ ﻋﻠﻲ ذﻟﻚ
ﻓﺎن اﻟﻤﻌﻠﻮﻣﺎت اﻟﺘﻲ ﺗﻢ ﺟﻤﻌﻬﺎ ﻣﻦ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ اﻟﺒﺮاﻣﺞ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻣﺔ ﻏﻴﺮ اﻟﻤﺼﺎدر وﻋﺎدة ﺗﻜﻮن ﻣﺘﺼﻔﺔ ﺑﺎ اﻟﻴﻘﻴﻦ ﻟﻐﻤﻮض وﻋﺪم .
اﻟﻐﻤﻮض ﻳ ﻨﺸﺎ ﻋﻨﺪﻣﺎ ﻳﻜﻮن هﻨﺎك ﺧﺒﻴﺮ ﻳﻌﺮف ﺑ ﺒﻌﺾ اﻟﻤﻌﺎﻳﻴﺮ اﻟﻨﻮﻋﻴﻪ ﻟﻠﺘﻔﺮﻳﻖ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺑﺮﻣﺠﻴﻴﻦ أي ﻗﺴﻤﻴﻦ اآﺜﺮ او .
وآﺬﻟﻚ ﻟﻮ ﻋﺪم اﻟﺘﺄآﺪ ﻳﻈﻬﺮ ﻣﻴﺰ ﺟﻮد اآﺜﺮ ﻣﻦ ة ﺧﺎﺻﻪ ﻗﺴﻢ ﻟﻜﻞ ﻓﻤﺜﻼ اﻟﺤﺠﻢ ﺑ اﻟﺨﺒﺮاء ، ﺴﺒﺐ ﺗﻨﺎﻗﺾ اراء ﺣﻮﻟﻪ ﻳﺆدي
هﺬا اﻟﺸﻚ اﻟﻲ اﻟﺸﻚ ﻓﻲ اﻟﺠﻬﺪ اﻟﻤﺒﺬول اﻟﺒﺮاﻣﺞ ﻋﻠﻰ .هﺬ اﻻ ﻩ ﻃﺮو ﺣﻪ .و Type-2 FLS-Based ﺗﻤﺜﻞ هﺬا اﻟﻨﻮع ﻣﻦ
اﻟﺒﺮﻣﺠﻴﺎت ﻗﺎدر ﻋﻠﻰ ﺣﻞ ﻣﺸﻜﻠﺔ اﻟﻐﻤﻮض وﻋﺪم اﻟﺪﻗﺔ . ﻓﺎن اﻟﺪراﺳﺎت اﻟﺘﺠﺮﻳﺒﻴﻪ ﺣﻮل ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮ ، وﺑﺎﻻﺿﺎﻓﻪ اﻟﻲ ذﻟﻚ
اﻧﺘﻬﺖ .ﺗﻌﺮف Type-2 FLS-Based ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ﻣﻌﺎﻟﻢ ﻧﻈﺎم وهﺬﻩ اﻻﻃﺮوﺣﺔ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﻪ ﻣﻦ اﻟﺼﻔﺎت اﻟﺘﻲ ﻳﻤﻜﻦ ان
ﺗﻌ اﻟﻤﺴﺎ ﻄﻲ دﻻﻟﻪ ﻋﻠﻲ ﻣﺼﺪاﻗﻴﻪ ﺣﺠﻢ اﻟﺒﺮﻣﺠﻴﺔ ﺣﺔ اﻟﺤﺎﻟﻴﻪ .اﻟﺨﺼ وﺗﺴﺘﺨﺪم هﺬﻩ ﺎﺋ ﺺ ﻋﻠﻲ ﺑﻌﺾ اﻟﺒﺮاﻣﺞ اﻟﻤﻮﺟﻮدﻩ
ﻟﺘﻘﻴﻴﻢ ﺣﺠﻢ اﻟﺒﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ.