Advancing Emergency Department Efficiency, Infectious Disease Management at Mass Gatherings, and Self-Efficacy Through Data Science and Dynamic Modeling

Abstract

This dissertation employs management systems engineering principles, data science, and industrial systems engineering techniques to address pressing challenges in emergency department (ED) efficiency, infectious disease management at mass gatherings, and student self-efficacy. It is structured into three essays, each contributing to a distinct domain of research, and utilizes industrial and systems engineering approaches to provide data-driven insights and recommend solutions.

The first essay used data analytics and regression analysis to understand how patient length of stay (LOS) in EDs could be influenced by multi-level variables integrating patient, service, and organizational factors. The findings suggested that specific demographic variables, the complexity of service provided, and staff-related variables significantly impacted LOS, offering guidance for operational improvements and better resource allocation. The second essay utilized system dynamics simulations to develop a modified SEIR model for modeling infectious diseases during mass gatherings and assessing the effectiveness of commonly implemented policies. The results demonstrated the significant collective impact of interventions such as visitor limits, vaccination mandates, and mask wearing, emphasizing their role in preventing health crises. The third essay applied machine learning methods to predict student self-efficacy in Muslim societies, revealing the importance of socio-emotional traits, cognitive abilities, and regulatory competencies. It provided a basis for identifying students with varying levels of self-efficacy and developing tailored strategies to enhance their academic and personal success.

Collectively, these essays underscore the value of data-driven and evidence-based decision- making. The dissertation’s broader impact lies in its contribution to optimizing healthcare operations, informing public health policy, and shaping educational strategies to be more culturally sensitive and psychologically informed. It provides a roadmap for future research and practical applications across the healthcare, public health, and education sectors, fostering advancements that could significantly benefit society.