Robust Multi-Layer Calibration of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model: The Balanced Premium Calibration Method

dc.contributor.advisorMalham, Simon
dc.contributor.authorAldossari, Mohammad
dc.date.accessioned2026-02-04T09:32:42Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.description.abstractThis thesis presents the balanced premium calibration method (BPCM), a three-layer framework for robustly fitting the Heston stochastic volatility model to large option datasets. The BPCM method involves three layers. Layer 1 ensures market consistency by filtering and structurally repairing raw quotes via put-call parity and bid-ask bounds, separating stable observations from noise. Layer 2 performs daily least-squares calibration of the Heston parameters using closed-form characteristic function pricing and derived analytic gradients and Hessians, thereby achieving rapid convergence without finite-difference approximations. Layer 3 redistributes errors and allows for controlled adjustments to model inputs and outputs, absorbing residual pricing errors and restoring arbitrage-free consistency. Working with 1.5 million call and put quotes on a major equity from 2018 to 2024, BPCM ensured that model prices closely adhere to market bid-ask spreads (91.58% adherence) for stable regimes while maintaining realistic spot price behaviour. The calibrated model achieves high consistency with observed prices and reconstructs the underlying spot price trajectory with minimal deviation even during market crises. In addition to BPCM, this thesis derives explicit closed-form expressions for the Heston model's Hessians.
dc.format.extent181
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14154/78082
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSaudi Digital Library
dc.subjectHeston model
dc.subjectstochastic volatility
dc.subjectrobust calibration
dc.subjectanalytic derivatives
dc.subjectmulti-layer calibration
dc.subjectoption pricing
dc.titleRobust Multi-Layer Calibration of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model: The Balanced Premium Calibration Method
dc.typeThesis
sdl.degree.departmentDepartment of Actuarial Mathematics and Statistics
sdl.degree.disciplineActuarial Mathematics
sdl.degree.grantorHeriot-Watt University
sdl.degree.nameDoctor of Philosophy

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