Adapting to Change: The Temporal Performance of Text Classifiers in the Context of Temporally Evolving Data

Abstract

This thesis delves into the evolving landscape of NLP, particularly focusing on the temporal persistence of text classifiers amid the dynamic nature of language use. The primary objective is to understand how changes in language patterns over time impact the performance of text classification models and to develop methodologies for maintaining their effectiveness. The research begins by establishing a theoretical foundation for text classification and temporal data analysis, highlighting the challenges posed by the evolving use of language and its implications for NLP models. A detailed exploration of various datasets, including the stance detection and sentiment analysis datasets, sets the stage for examining these dynamics. The characteristics of the datasets, such as linguistic variations and temporal vocabulary growth, are carefully examined to understand their influence on the performance of the text classifier. A series of experiments are conducted to evaluate the performance of text classifiers across different temporal scenarios. The findings reveal a general trend of performance degradation over time, emphasizing the need for classifiers that can adapt to linguistic changes. The experiments assess models' ability to estimate past and future performance based on their current efficacy and linguistic dataset characteristics, leading to valuable insights into the factors influencing model longevity. Innovative solutions are proposed to address the observed performance decline and adapt to temporal changes in language use over time. These include incorporating temporal information into word embeddings and comparing various methods across temporal gaps. The Incremental Temporal Alignment (ITA) method emerges as a significant contributor to enhancing classifier performance in same-period experiments, although it faces challenges in maintaining effectiveness over longer temporal gaps. Furthermore, the exploration of machine learning and statistical methods highlights their potential to maintain classifier accuracy in the face of longitudinally evolving data. The thesis culminates in a shared task evaluation, where participant-submitted models are compared against baseline models to assess their classifiers' temporal persistence. This comparison provides a comprehensive understanding of the short-term, long-term, and overall persistence of their models, providing valuable information to the field. The research identifies several future directions, including interdisciplinary approaches that integrate linguistics and sociology, tracking textual shifts on online platforms, extending the analysis to other classification tasks, and investigating the ethical implications of evolving language in NLP applications. This thesis contributes to the NLP field by highlighting the importance of evaluating text classifiers' temporal persistence and offering methodologies to enhance their sustainability in dynamically evolving language environments. The findings and proposed approaches pave the way for future research, aiming at the development of more robust, reliable, and temporally persistent text classification models.